Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.046142 0.053899 0.062427 0.072480 0.083988 0.096729 0.111886
2025-02-16 0.032785 0.042523 0.054256 0.069358 0.088200 0.110844 0.140022
2025-02-23 0.023989 0.034211 0.047581 0.066182 0.091193 0.123434 0.167879
2025-03-02 0.018300 0.028456 0.042762 0.064091 0.094717 0.136669 0.197940
2025-03-09 0.014893 0.025035 0.040300 0.064489 0.101271 0.154362 0.235812
2025-03-16 0.011769 0.021316 0.036617 0.062295 0.103470 0.165828 0.265881
2025-03-23 0.010369 0.020043 0.036416 0.065277 0.113691 0.190034 0.317195
2025-03-30 0.008823 0.018177 0.034868 0.065715 0.119735 0.208236 0.360922
2025-04-06 0.007296 0.016010 0.032394 0.064101 0.121987 0.220370 0.395887
2025-04-13 0.006121 0.014271 0.030373 0.062920 0.124698 0.233331 0.433223
2025-04-20 0.005626 0.013818 0.030705 0.066126 0.135604 0.261315 0.498669
2025-04-27 0.005138 0.013278 0.030764 0.068769 0.145692 0.288699 0.565370
2025-05-04 0.004263 0.011694 0.028440 0.066371 0.145961 0.298584 0.602153
2025-05-11 0.003657 0.010618 0.027032 0.065670 0.149507 0.314938 0.652463
2025-05-18 0.003069 0.009447 0.025197 0.063753 0.150285 0.325998 0.693709
2025-05-25 0.002604 0.008485 0.023676 0.062293 0.151807 0.338598 0.738991
2025-06-01 0.002318 0.007955 0.023116 0.062975 0.158057 0.361298 0.806243
2025-06-08 0.001953 0.007094 0.021550 0.060976 0.157990 0.370806 0.847382
2025-06-15 0.001839 0.006986 0.021963 0.063980 0.169858 0.406748 0.946424
2025-06-22 0.001643 0.006561 0.021425 0.064451 0.175742 0.430180 1.020798
2025-06-29 0.001407 0.005933 0.020193 0.062887 0.176460 0.442188 1.071446
2025-07-06 0.001217 0.005412 0.019173 0.061737 0.178057 0.456282 1.127767
2025-07-13 0.001162 0.005381 0.019653 0.064894 0.191053 0.497827 1.248754